Within GREMLIN
Why GREMLIN Watches Before It Judges
A 90-day baseline can reveal what normal traffic, wildlife, weather, and sensor noise look like before a UAP alert is judged unusual.
On this page
- What pattern of life collection means at a security site
- Normal signals GREMLIN needs to learn first
- How a baseline changes later UAP decisions
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Introduction
GREMLIN’s planned 90-day “pattern-of-life” test is one of the most significant implementation choices in the U.S. government’s emerging approach to automated UAP detection. Rather than immediately treating unusual sensor returns as potential unidentified anomalous phenomena (UAP), the system is being deployed to watch a real-world national security location long enough to learn what ordinary activity looks like first. According to the All-domain Anomaly Resolution Office (AARO), GREMLIN successfully collected data during a March 2024 test event and its next step is a 90-day pattern-of-life collection at a national security site. [U.S. Department of War]media.defense.govFY24 CONSOLIDATED ANNUAL REPORT ON UAP 508Department of WarFiscal Year 2024 Consolidated Annual Report on…November 14, 2024 — 14 Nov 2024 — The next step for GREMLIN is a 90-da…
The importance of that decision is easy to miss. A detector cannot reliably identify anomalies until it understands normality. For an automated instrumented UFO detection system, the baseline is often more valuable than the alert itself. The 90-day collection period is designed to teach GREMLIN the recurring patterns of aircraft, wildlife, weather effects, satellites, radio-frequency activity, and sensor artefacts that might otherwise be mistaken for something unusual. [U.S. Department of War]war.govdr jon kosloski director aaro media roundtable on the fy24 consolidated annualDepartment of WarDr. Jon Kosloski, Director, AARO, Media Roundtable on the…It noted that the next step for Gremlin, the Gremlin capabi…
What Pattern-of-Life Collection Means at a Security Site
In surveillance, intelligence, and security operations, “pattern of life” refers to the systematic observation of an environment over time to identify recurring behaviours and expected activity. The goal is not to find anomalies immediately but to establish a statistically meaningful picture of what happens on an ordinary day, week, and month.
AARO director Jon Kosloski explained that the GREMLIN deployment was chosen specifically to build a baseline. He noted that current UAP reporting contains geographic and reporting biases because many reports originate near national security facilities and depend heavily on human observers. The purpose of the deployment is to understand what “normal” looks like around such sites before drawing conclusions about unusual events. [U.S. Department of War]war.govdr jon kosloski director aaro media roundtable on the fy24 consolidated annualDepartment of WarDr. Jon Kosloski, Director, AARO, Media Roundtable on the…It noted that the next step for Gremlin, the Gremlin capabi…
The location itself was selected because it offers environmental variety and has previously generated UAP reports. AARO deliberately declined to identify the site publicly because officials wanted an unbiased test and did not want outside parties conducting intentional flyovers or experiments against the system. [Breaking Defense+2DefenseScoop]breakingdefense.comBreaking Defense GREMLIN, but no aliens: Pentagon UAP office plans firstBreaking DefenseGREMLIN, but no aliens: Pentagon UAP office plans first…November 14, 2024 — 14 Nov 2024 — The report says that GREMLIN…
This makes the deployment fundamentally different from traditional UAP investigations. Instead of reacting to a reported sighting after the fact, GREMLIN continuously observes an area and accumulates context before any future event occurs.
Normal Signals GREMLIN Needs to Learn First
One reason UAP cases often remain unresolved is that many observations occur in complex environments where ordinary phenomena can appear unusual when viewed through a single sensor. GREMLIN was designed as a multi-sensor platform precisely because these environments are crowded with potential sources of confusion. [U.S. Department of War+2DefenseScoop]media.defense.govFY24 CONSOLIDATED ANNUAL REPORT ON UAP 508Department of WarFiscal Year 2024 Consolidated Annual Report on…November 14, 2024 — 14 Nov 2024 — The next step for GREMLIN is a 90-da…
During early testing, officials reported that the system detected birds, bats, solar-related effects, and numerous objects in Earth orbit. Those detections were not failures; they were part of the learning process. Understanding such recurring signatures helps analysts distinguish genuine anomalies from expected activity. [Space]space.comPentagon UFO office developing 'Gremlin' sensors to helpPentagon UFO office developing 'Gremlin' sensors to help…March 9, 2024 — 9 Mar 2024 — The Pentagon's UFO office is developing sen…
Over a 90-day period, GREMLIN can observe:
- Commercial and military aircraft operating under different conditions.
- Drones and unmanned aerial systems.
- Birds, bats, and other wildlife.
- Weather-driven radar and optical effects.
- Satellite passes and orbital reflections.
- Solar and atmospheric phenomena.
- Radio-frequency emissions from legitimate sources.
- Sensor artefacts produced by geometry, glare, or environmental conditions. [U.S. Department of War+2Space]media.defense.govFY24 CONSOLIDATED ANNUAL REPORT ON UAP 508Department of WarFiscal Year 2024 Consolidated Annual Report on…November 14, 2024 — 14 Nov 2024 — The next step for GREMLIN is a 90-da…
A three-month window is long enough to capture changes across weekdays, weekends, operational schedules, seasonal weather patterns, and varying daylight conditions. A short deployment might reveal only a fragment of local behaviour, whereas a longer observation period provides a richer model of routine activity.
Why Ninety Days Is More Useful Than a Short Demonstration
The March 2024 test demonstrated that GREMLIN could collect data successfully, but proving functionality is not the same as proving analytical value. A short trial can show that sensors work. A pattern-of-life deployment shows whether they can separate meaningful anomalies from background clutter. [U.S. Department of War]media.defense.govFY24 CONSOLIDATED ANNUAL REPORT ON UAP 508Department of WarFiscal Year 2024 Consolidated Annual Report on…November 14, 2024 — 14 Nov 2024 — The next step for GREMLIN is a 90-da…
For automated detection systems, false positives are often the biggest operational problem. A radar track, infrared signature, or optical observation may appear unusual in isolation. Once weeks of historical observations exist, however, analysts can determine whether similar signatures occur routinely.
A ninety-day baseline also helps identify recurring events that initially look suspicious. For example:
- A satellite reflection may appear anomalous on a single night but reveal a predictable schedule over several weeks.
- A migratory bird route may generate recurring radar returns during specific periods.
- Particular atmospheric conditions may repeatedly create optical distortions.
- Certain maintenance or operational activities may create sensor signatures that appear unusual to outside observers.
Without historical context, each event risks becoming a standalone mystery. With a baseline, many can be categorised rapidly.
How a Baseline Changes Later UAP Decisions
The most important consequence of the GREMLIN test is that it changes the evidentiary standard for future UAP investigations.
Historically, many UAP reports begin with a witness observing something unexpected. Investigators then attempt to reconstruct conditions after the event, often with incomplete information. GREMLIN reverses that process. It gathers continuous environmental data first and asks questions later.
When a future alert occurs, analysts can compare it against the preceding ninety days of observations. Instead of asking, “What was this object?”, they can first ask:
- Has the system seen something similar before?
- Does the object match an established local pattern?
- Do radar, optical, infrared, and radio-frequency sensors agree?
- Is the signature consistent with known aircraft, drones, wildlife, satellites, or atmospheric effects?
- Is the event genuinely outside the site’s established baseline?
That shift matters because anomaly detection is fundamentally comparative. An event becomes interesting not because it is strange in isolation but because it departs from a well-characterised normal state.
Kosloski explicitly described the deployment as an effort to establish that normal state, with plans to expand baseline studies beyond national security locations in the future. [U.S. Department of War]war.govdr jon kosloski director aaro media roundtable on the fy24 consolidated annualDepartment of WarDr. Jon Kosloski, Director, AARO, Media Roundtable on the…It noted that the next step for Gremlin, the Gremlin capabi…
Why the Test Matters for Automated Instrumented UFO Detectors
GREMLIN’s 90-day deployment highlights a broader lesson for automated UFO detection systems: sensors alone do not solve the UAP problem. Context does.
The public discussion around UAP often focuses on dramatic captures, unusual videos, or unexplained tracks. GREMLIN’s pattern-of-life programme instead emphasises environmental understanding. The system’s value lies not merely in detecting objects but in learning the ordinary operating conditions of a location well enough to recognise when something truly departs from them. [U.S. Department of War]media.defense.govFY24 CONSOLIDATED ANNUAL REPORT ON UAP 508Department of WarFiscal Year 2024 Consolidated Annual Report on…November 14, 2024 — 14 Nov 2024 — The next step for GREMLIN is a 90-da…
For government UAP monitoring, that represents a move from reactive investigation toward continuous measurement. The 90-day test is therefore not simply a field trial of hardware. It is an experiment in building the reference dataset that future anomaly judgments will depend upon. If successful, the baseline it creates could become the foundation for deciding which future observations are routine, which are misidentifications, and which remain genuinely unexplained. U.S. Department of War+2U.S. Department of War [media.defense.gov]media.defense.govFY24 CONSOLIDATED ANNUAL REPORT ON UAP 508Department of WarFiscal Year 2024 Consolidated Annual Report on…November 14, 2024 — 14 Nov 2024 — The next step for GREMLIN is a 90-da…
Amazon book picks
Further Reading
Books and field guides related to Why GREMLIN Watches Before It Judges. Use these as the next step if you want deeper reading beyond the article.
The Signal and the Noise
Directly connects to GREMLIN's challenge of learning normal patterns before identifying anomalies.
Noise
Explains why reliable decisions require reducing false positives and inconsistent judgments, a core theme of baseline-driven detection.
Superforecasting
Addresses evidence-based prediction, uncertainty, and structured analysis relevant to anomaly assessment systems.
Skunk Works
Appeals to readers interested in advanced aerospace technology, defense programs, and national-security sensing environments.
Endnotes
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Source: media.defense.gov
Title: FY24 CONSOLIDATED ANNUAL REPORT ON UAP 508
Link: https://media.defense.gov/2024/Nov/14/2003583603/-1/-1/0/FY24-CONSOLIDATED-ANNUAL-REPORT-ON-UAP-508.PDFSource snippet
Department of WarFiscal Year 2024 Consolidated Annual Report on...November 14, 2024 — 14 Nov 2024 — The next step for GREMLIN is a 90-da...
Published: November 14, 2024
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Source: war.gov
Title: dr jon kosloski director aaro media roundtable on the fy24 consolidated annual
Link: https://www.war.gov/News/Transcripts/Transcript/Article/3965734/dr-jon-kosloski-director-aaro-media-roundtable-on-the-fy24-consolidated-annual/Source snippet
Department of WarDr. Jon Kosloski, Director, AARO, Media Roundtable on the...It noted that the next step for Gremlin, the Gremlin capabi...
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Source: defensescoop.com
Title: uap aaro chief unveils pentagon annual caseload analysis new efforts
Link: https://defensescoop.com/2024/11/14/uap-aaro-chief-unveils-pentagon-annual-caseload-analysis-new-efforts/Source snippet
'The truly anomalous': New AARO chief unveils Pentagon's...14 Nov 2024 — AARO's prototype sensor system for detecting, tracking and char...
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Source: defensescoop.com
Link: https://defensescoop.com/2024/03/08/embargo-10a-friday-dod-developing-gremlin-capability-to-help-personnel-collect-real-time-uap-data/Source snippet
AARO's acting director Tim Phillips gave his first off-camera...
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Source: space.com
Title: Pentagon UFO office developing ‘Gremlin’ sensors to help
Link: https://www.space.com/pentagon-ufo-uap-office-aaro-sensors-anomalies-orbitSource snippet
Pentagon UFO office developing 'Gremlin' sensors to help...March 9, 2024 — 9 Mar 2024 — The Pentagon's UFO office is developing sen...
Published: March 9, 2024
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Source: aaro.mil
Link: https://www.aaro.mil/Source snippet
AARO HomeWelcome to the website for the All-domain Anomaly Resolution Office (AARO). Our team of experts leads the U.S. government's effo...
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Source: gremlin.com
Link: https://www.gremlin.com/blog/release-roundup-march-2024-more-ways-to-discover-and-test-your-servicesSource snippet
Release Roundup March 2024: More ways to discover and...12 Mar 2024 — Gremlin now has a native way to prevent users from running experim...
Published: March 2024
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Source: space.com
Title: ufos not attributable to foreign adversaries new pentagon report says
Link: https://www.space.com/space-exploration/search-for-life/ufos-not-attributable-to-foreign-adversaries-new-pentagon-report-saysSource snippet
UFOs 'not attributable to foreign adversaries," new...15 Nov 2024 — “The next step for GREMLIN is a 90-day pattern of life collection at...
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Source: breakingdefense.com
Title: Breaking Defense GREMLIN, but no aliens: Pentagon UAP office plans first
Link: https://breakingdefense.com/2024/11/gremlin-but-no-aliens-pentagon-uap-office-plans-first-deployment-of-new-sensor-suite/Source snippet
Breaking DefenseGREMLIN, but no aliens: Pentagon UAP office plans first...November 14, 2024 — 14 Nov 2024 — The report says that GREMLIN...
Published: November 14, 2024
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Source: annual.llnl.gov
Title: global security 2024
Link: https://annual.llnl.gov/fy-2024/global-security-2024Source snippet
Security - 2024 - Annual ReportIn FY 2024, the Laboratory's Space Program continued to demonstrate its leadership in developing and deliv...
Additional References
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Source: linkedin.com
Link: https://www.linkedin.com/posts/interestingengineering_pentagon-to-deploy-gremlin-the-first-3d-activity-7263679734738280448-K22cSource snippet
Interesting Engineering's PostPentagon to deploy 'Gremlin,' the first 3D UFO surveillance system, in FY 2025 for pattern-of-life analysis...
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Source: read-me.org
Title: fiscal year 2024 consolidated annual report on unidentified anomalous phenomena
Link: https://read-me.org/more-social-sciences/2024/12/21/fiscal-year-2024-consolidated-annual-report-on-unidentified-anomalous-phenomenaSource snippet
Fiscal Year 2024 Consolidated Annual Report on...21 Dec 2024 — This report covers unidentified anomalous phenomena (UAP) reports from Ma...
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Source: twz.com
Title: dod to deploy [gremlin sensors]({{ ‘gremlin/’ | relative_url }}) to collect intel on unidentified flying objects
Link: https://www.twz.com/air/dod-to-deploy-gremlin-sensors-to-collect-intel-on-unidentified-flying-objectsSource snippet
DoD To Deploy 'Gremlin' Sensors To Collect Intel On...8 Mar 2024 — New deployable hyperspectral sensors will be able to collect data acr...
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Source: leonarddavid.com
Title: new dod report uaps not attributable to foreign adversaries
Link: https://www.leonarddavid.com/new-dod-report-uaps-not-attributable-to-foreign-adversaries/Source snippet
New DoD Report: UAP “Not Attributable to Foreign...14 Nov 2024 — “The next step for GREMLIN is a 90-day pattern of life collection at a...
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Source: yahoo.com
Title: us deploy world first alien 183634872
Link: https://www.yahoo.com/news/us-deploy-world-first-alien-183634872.htmlSource snippet
US to deploy world's first alien-hunting system equipped...15 Nov 2024 — The Pentagon will deploy 'Gremlin,' the world's first full-time...
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Source: metabunk.org
Title: aaro 2024 annual report on uap.13762
Link: https://www.metabunk.org/threads/aaro-2024-annual-report-on-uap.13762/Source snippet
AARO 2024 Annual Report on UAP14 Nov 2024 — It noted that the next step for Gremlin, the Gremlin capability, is conducting a 90-day patte...
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Source: youtube.com
Link: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mvsU4p0GsasSource snippet
Director overseeing UAP sighting analysis testifies at hearing | The Hill...
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Source: youtube.com
Title: Director overseeing UAP sighting analysis testifies at hearing | The Hill
Link: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DJ4xiqeDOFoSource snippet
UFO hearing live: Pentagon office testifies in Senate emerging threats committee amid UAP report...
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Source: hsdl.org
Title: 2024 annual report uap
Link: https://www.hsdl.org/c/2024-annual-report-uap/Source snippet
2024 Annual Report on Unidentified Anomalous Phenomena15 Nov 2024 — This report details UAP incidents from May 1, 2023 to June 1, 2024, a...
Published: May 1, 2023
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Source: taskandpurpose.com
Title: military ufo gremlin
Link: https://taskandpurpose.com/news/military-ufo-gremlin/Source snippet
'Gremlin systems' will help Pentagon analyze UFO sightings7 Mar 2024 — The Pentagon's is developing deployable sensor suites known as “Gr...
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